She leads with 54% to DeSantis 46%, still just outside the margin of error. Meanwhile, the majority of other polls, past and more recent, still have the current governor in a comfortable lead. The real-world results have been horrific. Between late April 2020 when the pandemic was in full swing and September of this year, approval ratings among governors have dropped from an average of 64% to an average of 45%. Support for DeSantis is broad across nearly all political and demographic groups. Try looking in the mirror for once." Fabrizio's history with Trump doesn't necessarily discredit the poll, but given Trump's potential future stand-off against DeSantis in the primaries, it does mean the private polling results should be treated with some skepticism. DeSantis has a 50-43% favorability rating, while Crist has a negative 34-39% favorability rating, with more than a quarter of voters either not knowing him or having no opinion about him. Putting aside for the moment the fact that they are largely killing their own voters, Republican governors are suffering hits to their approval ratings, something no politician wants to see. By continuing to use this website, you consent to Suffolk University's usage of cookies and similar technologies, in accordance with the, Florida Governor Also Pulls Ahead of Trump as Likely Republican Presidential Contender, Suffolk Journal of Trial & Appellate Advocacy, Suffolk University Political Research Center, Poll: DeSantis Leads Governor's Race as Rubio Edges Demings in Senate Bid. The poll surveyed 2,904 registered voters in Florida. DeSantis' press secretary also mentioned that, since mid-August, the overall number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations has declined steadily by about 9.7 percent, according to the Florida Hospital Association. A close look at the numbers shows DeSantis still holds the support of 66% of Republicans, but Democrats are increasingly energized against him, with 66% of them giving him poor marks. Unfortunatelyfor him, Trump is noSeinfeld.Hes more likeThe Cosby Show hotfor a while butnow forgotten. TheYahoo survey shows just 31 percent of the public wants Trump to run; only 29 percent of independents agree, whilenot a single demographic is net positive. Creative Loafings 2023 endorsements for Tampa City Council, mayor and charter amendments, Creative Loafing Tampa Bay is hiring a staff writer, Tampa Mayor Jane Castor is a shoe-in for re-election, so write someone else in, Scroll to read more Florida News articles. Most young men are single. On July 1, the state reported 36 deaths. "BREAKING: Democratic Florida frontrunner Charlie Crist is polling one point higher than Ron DeSantis. Based on a casual reading of the polls, Donald Trump looks to have smooth sailing to the Republican presidential nomination in 2024andthe chance to erase the stink of losing to Joe Bidenthathe so covets. According totheYouGov June21benchmark, Trump is at80 percent approval, meaning he is running nearly 30 points behind on the ballot test. The public is not sympathetic tothe Capitol rioters of 2021, with68 percent disapproving, including majorities ofall demographic and ideological groups 58 percent amongRepublicans;52 percent think Trump had a lot or some responsibility, including majoritiesor pluralities of alldemographic groups; just 24 percent thinkhe had no responsibility. Florida Gov. Most young women are not. But nearly 90% of Democrats say they would pick Crist over DeSantis, and 83% say the same in a Fried/DeSantis head-to-head. In part, this was because Trumps leadership was so confusing and chaotic that governors had no alternative but to step into the breach. Please considermaking a one time or monthly donationto help support our staff. Crist, a Democratic Congressman and former Republican Governorrunningfor his old job, leads 57% to DeSantis 43% in a head-to-head matchup. RCP Senate Map | Senate Polls | Generic Congressional Vote | RCP Governor Map | Governor For months, Bidens approval ratings have continued to tank as a majority of Americans disapprove of his job performance. Since the start of July, the state has broken that record 12 times. In a list of most important issues, 33% of voters listed inflation/economy, far ahead of the second and third most-ranked issues of threats to democracy (13%) and abortion rights (11%). Crist himself is up against Nikki Fried, Florida's Agriculture Commissioner, in the Democratic primaries, though the odds are heavily skewed in his favor. Approval ratings of the incumbent Democratic Governor, Ralph Northam, have dropped 10 points to 49%, which is still better than the average drop of 14.38% for Democratic governors. Senate sends bill nullifying Biden's ESG investing rule to president's desk, China, Belarus call for cease-fire, negotiations in Ukraine, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. "Charlie Crist is in this race to defeat Ron DeSantis, and this secret GOP poll shows that he's doing exactly that," Samantha Ramirez, spokesperson for Crist, said according to Village News. But it was also because governors, not presidents, have authority over important parts of pandemic controlfrom quarantines, to mask rules, to vaccine distribution plans. DeSantis has a 60% approval rating among men and 47% approval rating among women, the poll said. Typically,GOP voters rally around their standard-bearerin the upper 80s. Covid has not been much kinder to the 50 state governors than it has been to presidents. Rubio has a slightly negative 41-44% favorability rating compared to Demings 33-22% favorability rating. Reddit and its partners use cookies and similar technologies to provide you with a better experience. His approval rating dropped 6 percent and his disapproval rating increased 8 percent among all voters since July 1. That is bad, but Trump is worse. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. As a result, his national numbers are not that great at face value. Ron DeSantis Approval Rating In a straw poll performed at the 2022 Conservative Political Action Conference for the 2024 Republican presidential selection, At the start of July, 72 percent of Democrats disapproved of his performance. COVID-19 is crushing red states. Younger voters are poised to upend American politics. Abbott similarly saw drops among Democrats and independents. His national approval is33 percent approve, 37 percent disapprove, according to theYahoo Newspoll. Nearly half of all Florida voters now disapprove of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' job performance. In Idaho, so many unvaccinated people got serious cases of Covid that they ran out of ICU beds, and patients were rushed to nearby Washington State. But since Northam cant run again, the Democratic candidate, former Governor Terry McAuliffe, is in a tight race with wealthy businessman and Republican nominee Glenn Youngkin. In this photo, DeSantis speaks during an event to give out bonuses to first responders held at the Grand Beach Hotel Surfside on August 10 in Surfside, Florida. Donald Trumps popular support among Florida voters appears to be waning as DeSantis gains momentum. Charlie Crist, earning 48 percent []" the article states. Red-state governors are in trouble with majorities because they are pandering to a subset of voters in their party who have decided to equate what most voters see as public health common sense with an attack on liberty. Newsweek has reached out to DeSantis for comment. Fifty-four percent of Florida voters approved of DeSantiss job in office from June 22 to July 1. Voters say they feel that economic conditions in Florida have gotten worse since January. Basically imo a blank face Democrat. Kamala is an underwhelming candidate but she is better than Hillary in that she's a sitting VP and the establishment will just use her as a puppet. Jacob Ogles As Table #1 indicates, with two exceptions, the top 10 governors who have suffered the largest losses are Republican. Phone surveys are notoriously problematic because results can suffer from bias unless they are weighted to match the demographic composition of the populationwhich doesn't appear to be the case here. The Covid States Project is a consortium of academics and pollsters who have been tracking the approval ratings of Americas governors throughout the pandemic. The Supreme Court takes up student loan forgiveness Whats at stake? These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson. "If you look at all the different policy responses around the world since the start of the pandemic, there is no correlation between COVID prevalence andmask mandates, lockdowns, curfews, vaccine passportsor even vaccination rate.". The elections this fall and next will tell us a great deal about Covids impact on politics. Republicans only agree at 58 percent and that is without offering alternatives. This would explain their hardline positions on Covid. Among Republicans, 85 percent approve of the Governor while 10 percent disapprove. At least some of the claims around purported shifts in Florida's gubernatorial race appear to be referencing a private poll by Tony Fabrizio, a veteran GOP strategist and pollster. Your favorite tequila battle is back on 4/7/23! Since then, the state has broken that new record nine times. By DeSantis ' approval rating plummeted as Florida's Covid-19 cases skyrocketed into 2021. Note: States identified in red with an R in parentheses have Republican governors; states in blue with a D in parentheses have Democratic governors. The mercurial rise of Ron DeSantis is the Democrats fault. Finally, DeSantis's popularity is also evident from the fact that he continues to draw in impressive sums of money from his supporters, raising more than $113 million during his re-election campaign cycle as of April. . Naughton is a former Pennsylvania political campaign consultant. The numbers are worse for Biden, with just 21 percent looking forward to a Biden run, including just 43 percent of Democrats and a mere 12 percentof independents. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. According to FiveThirtyEight,Trump was regularly besting DeSantis with totals in the upper 50s tomore than60 percent, but the last time he hit 60 percent was inEchelonslate-April poll. Fabrizio admits as much in responding to a Newsweek request for comment, in which he provided both the survey results for the poll mentioned above, as well as a more recent one. First of all, the 1 percent lead is effectively negligible, given the poll's margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent. On July 1, the state reported 2,116 COVID-19 hospitalizations, according to data from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. DeSantis has pledged to withhold the paycheck of district school board members and fine businesses $5,000 for their defiance. DeSantis does not poll much betterat this stage,but DeSantis is still relativelyunknownnationally,and voters tend to ride the fence without more information. Fabrizio told Newsweek that the questions in the survey "were not asked at any clients request, but rather questions we added at our own expense onto regular statewide surveys we do in FL.". Florida Gov. Greg Gatlin THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. And 62% rated conditions as fair or poor, up 12 points from the 50% rating in January. The percentage of Independent voters who disapprove of DeSantis' job performance rose 14 percentage points since the start of July. BREAKING: Gov. On DeSantis' overall job performance, voters are divided with 47 percent approving and 45 percent disapproving of the way he's handling his job as governor. Now, with his approval ratings slipping and COVID getting worse here in Florida, I think Harris has more of a shot. You know, we believe that when parents send their kids to school, its for education, not for indoctrination, and were gonna hold that line in Florida. The most important number in this poll isnt that Nikki Fried is leading DeSantis its that DeSantis is underwater, with 53.8% of Floridians disapproving of his handling of COVID-19, saidKevin Cate,a senior advisor to Fried. So how are the nations governors doing during the pandemic and what might we learn from them? Eighty-three percent of Republican voters in Florida approve of the job DeSantis is doing as governor, down from 87 percent in July. Florida Gov. Independents gave Biden an approval rating of 41%, a two-point drop from a few weeks prior. The president actually saw a slight bump in his approval rating in the early days of 2022, reaching a high of 43.5 percent on January 3. His disapproval rating has risen over the last two months as Florida's COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths have reached their highest levels since the pandemic began. The number of COVID-19 hospitalizations in the state has also risen dramatically. Ron DeSantis (R) remains the most formidable challenger to former President Trumps hopes of reclaiming the Republican presidential nomination As the election for Governor of Florida draws closer, several prominent social media accounts have claimed that the incumbent Ron DeSantis may be facing a tougher challenge than anticipated, with recent polls allegedly tilting in favor of his Democratic opponent, U.S. Rep. Charlie Crist from the 13th District. Penceis57 percentapproveto 29 percent disapprove among Republicans, very weak fora man with nearly total name recognition. Two international studies have also determined that lockdowns potentially have saved millions of lives, Reuters reported on June 2020. But DeSantiss approval rating among independents dropped significantly, from 50 percent to 40 percent. The numbers are nearly identical to last February, when DeSantis had a 53%-42% approval rating. With Hispanics a top GOP target group DeSantis is underwater 28 percent to 33 percent(20 percent very unfavorable), but Trump is down38 percent to 52 percent (41 percent very unfavorable). The Political Matrix/The Listener Groupsurvey resultsalso show DeSantis trailing either DemocratCharlie CristorNikki Friedin a potential matchup for Governor. Looking beyond polls at other metrics, DeSantis remains largely popular in Florida, with a solid approval rating of 58 percentthe highest among the elected officials It's a very serious addiction. Normally, a28-point lead would be cause for celebration, but not for Trump. He alsohas toget throughreelectionin Florida in November. Among all voters, 48 percent now approve of DeSantis' job performance and 48 percent disapprove, according to a new poll from the market research company Morning Just a small uptick in fortunecould make Trump a two-time loser to Biden. Governor Ron DeSantis had an approval rating of 50%, down from 58% in February of this year. DeSantis approval rating is down to 36% and Abbotts is even lower, at 32%. He also has to get through reelection in Florida in November. Trump is essentially tiedwith Bidenin national polling. In the past month, Trump has mostly been in the low to mid-50s. "BREAKING: Florida Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' re-election chances are put in major jeopardy as a new poll of Florida voters shows that he's losing to Democrat Charlie Crist, who is at 48% of the vote compared to DeSantis' 47%," wrote OccupyDemocrats in a tweet that gathered nearly 100,000 interactions since June 22, 2022. Our small but mighty team works tirelessly to bring you news on how coronavirus is affecting Tampa and surrounding areas. Ron DeSantis approval rating is about the same as it was last year. Instead, Trump continues to fume about the hearings and complain that the 2020 election was stolen. Newsweek has reached out to Crist for comment. Approval ticked down slightly from 25 percent to 24 percent. "A survey of 1,200 registered Florida voters conducted in mid-May by Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio and obtained by NBC News showed DeSantis earning 47 percent of the vote and his top Democratic rival, former Gov. Most recently, the Republican-leaning firm Echelon has Trump down 43-45 percent among likely voters. As President Trump dithered his way through the first months of the pandemic, it became clear that when it came to peoples daily lives, governors would be the ones with the power. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. underwhelming, but not **that** bad. WebAccording to a survey conducted in January 2023, around 22 percent of Americans had a very unfavorable view of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, while 27 percent of Americans hold a The views expressed by contributors are their own and not the view of The Hill, by Keith Naughton, opinion contributor - 06/26/22 10:30 AM ET, by Antjuan Seawright, Opinion Contributor, by Douglas E. Schoen, opinion contributor, Lawmakers trounce Lobbyists in annual charity hockey game, These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates bill, Biden mocks Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: Isnt she amazing?, Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Palestine derailment, Biden urges Democrats to tout policy wins: Let the people know who did it for them, Pence disagrees with Haleys call for competency tests: The American people can sort that out, Judge says Starbucks committed egregious and widespread labor violations fighting unions, Washington applauds private-sector insulin cap, China, trade and national security: The tools we need. Of note, the same poll shows Rubio winning his race against likely Democratic nomineeVal Demings, the most prominent Democrat challenging him. In a hypothetical 2024 presidential primary matchup, DeSantis (48%) now leads Trump (40%) by 8 points. WebOf all the elected officials mentioned in the survey, DeSantis has the highest job approval rating at 58%. Donald Trump trailing in a contest with another Republican is a sea change, said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center. Helags Trump nationally and inprimary polling. Additionally, DeSantis' net approval is higher with Hispanic voters (62%-20%) than among the general public. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, Kamala maybe? By the end of August, 76 percent disapproveda 4 percent increase. DeSantis would hold up better against Agriculture CommissionerNikki Fried, the other major Democratrunningfor Governor, but is still losing according to this poll. GOP Candidate: Ron DeSantis (Incumbent) Dem Candidates: Charlie Crist, Nikki Fried, Annette Taddeo, David Nelson Freeman. The state's previous highest daily toll of deaths was 272 on January 22. The poll results were initially mentioned in an NBC News report. Losing a re-election race or deciding not to run because you are likely to lose are not good Others, however, remained confident in DeSantis's win. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. DeSantis polls 58 percent approve to just 15 percent disapprove. DeSantis is also leading the field in the 2022 race for governor, where he tops Democratic challenger Charlie Crist 48%-41%, as well as Independent Carmen Jackie Gimenez (3%) and Libertarian Hector Roos (1%), with 7% of voters undecided. One year into the Ukraine war What does the public think about American involvement in the world. Florida Gov. A February-March poll by Saint Leo University gave a whopping 16-point advantage to DeSantis. Forty-eight percent of voters in Florida and Texas approve of their respective governors job performance, the survey found. 73 Tremont Street The two premier contests next month are the governors races in New Jersey and Virginia. DeSantisis in office, pursuing actual policy, offering real alternatives rather than justcomplaints; heis capturing the fancy ofsome inthe media andsomecelebrities such as Bill Maher and Elon Musk things thatused to be Trumps territory. Biden is down to a RealClearPoliticsaverageof39.1 percentapproveand 56.4 percent disapprove. Make no mistake, DeSantis is running, justin a highly calculated,surreptitious manner. Ron DeSantis has raised more than $100 million for his reelection effort. DeSantis also leads all other potential Republican candidates. Trump is down43 to 53 percent with independents,36 to 58 percent with Hispanics, and at a deficit with seniors. "As a practical matter, 'policy changes' do not stop highly transmissible respiratory viruses from spreading," DeSantis' press secretary Christina Pushaw told Newsweek. At the moment, however, Florida Republicans would choose DeSantis, despite Trump being a Sunshine State resident.. With universal name ID and a big initial lead,Trump should be unassailable. BREAKING: Democratic Florida frontrunner Charlie Crist is polling one point higher than Ron DeSantis.DeSantis can be DeFeated. Recall that Trump won the GOP nominationby blitzing his opponents with a relatively shortcampaign; the Republican field was inexperiencednationally, had never seen anything like Trump and was always on the defensive. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. Try looking in the mirror for once: Governor @RonDeSantisFL BLASTS Brandon for his abysmal approval ratings , "You want to know why your approval ratings are in the toilet? We make memes more than we predict elections to be honest. Additionally, DeSantis' net approval is higher with Hispanic The results seem all the more startling considering the same pollster in June showed DeSantis with adouble-digit leadover either Democratic challenger. Montana, New York, Rhode Island, and Utah are excluded from these numbers because they changed governors during this period. Another poll, conducted in April by Morning Consult, showed 56 percent of Floridians approving of the governor and just 38 percent disapproving. According to the market research company, 48 percent of all But lack of discipline, impatience and self-pity are conspiring to drag him down. At the start of July, only 9 percent of Republican voters disapproved of his performance. This month, lets celebrate women like Marcy Kaptur, Feehery: Progressive DC government turning city into a dystopia, Budowsky: Mike Pence, democracy and the Republican Partys future, The Memo: Lightfoot is latest Democrat to fall to anger over crime, Why a DC crime bill is creating big problems for Democrats, Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything related to him: Peter Strzok. The pollsters report a 3.1% margin of error. In fact, the figures he provided for June show DeSantis regaining the lead, raking up 50 percent of the prospective votes, compared to 47 percent for Crist. In the same Yahoo poll,everypolitical figure had a net negativerating. At the start of July, only 38 percent disapproved of his job performance. Trump is trending down against DeSantison the national ballot and, for the first time, is losing in a state primary ballot test. [1] Data for Tables 1 and 2 comes from The Covid States Project Report #66: September 2021 update on executive approval, available at https://osf.io/dva5r/, governors would be the ones with the power. When it comes to the way DeSantis is handling the public schools, voters give DeSantis a negative 44 - 51 percent approval rating. But here, too, the methodology is dubious, with the pollsters themselves noting that it sampled "likely voters" via landline calls. However, Demings hasnt risen above 41% and still struggles with statewide name recognition, with 20% of likely midterm voters saying they have not heard of her and an additional 22% indicating that they have heard her name but have not formed an opinion. Morning Consult found that the governors are still largely popular among Republican voters in their states, though approval has declined slightly. Not a single poll has put Trump at 50 percent or higher. Only Pence is competitive, but that is a bit generous. WebRon DeSantis Kamala Harris Voting closed comments sorted by A while ago, I wouldve said DeSantis. Youd have Rubio as the ranking Republican on the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, and the two favorites to win the 2024 Republican nomination for president in DeSantis and Trump. This statewide survey of 500 likely Florida voters was conducted September 15-18 using live telephone interviews of households where respondents indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor. Morning Consult noted that before Kabul fell to the Taliban, Biden still had a net-positive approval rating of 51%. Ron DeSantis(R)who has all the momentum. 617-573-8428 Historically, these two races are always heavily scrutinized for what they can tell us about how the public is reacting to events of the day. Boston, MA 02108, This website uses cookies as well as similar tools and technologies to understand visitors' experiences. Similarly, 79 percent of Republican voters in Texas approve of Abbott, slightly down from 80 percent in July. Overall, 62 percent of Hispanic voters, 68 percent of white voters and 40 percent of African-American voters approve of DeSantis. Recent social media posts have claimed that incumbent Ron DeSantis has fallen behind Democrat Charlie Crist in the Florida governor race.